CategoryPandemic

Save the Economy… by saving the People

Now that the governments of the world are woken up to the emergency at hand and finally telling their citizens to stay home, it’s time to focus on how to ensure those citizens stay fed for the coming months. So far, the plans out of Washington DC are not the right answer. Paid sick leave, yes. Payroll taxes and airline bailouts, no. Payroll taxes only work if there are payrolls being paid...

Stay Home!

Since exponential growth isn’t intuitive, it is difficult to grasp how fast epidemics spread and how small changes can lower that speed. This weekend the Financial Times published the following chart. It shows how all but four countries have outbreaks growing at similar rates. Note this chart isn’t showing each country starting on the same day, but instead showing each country...

What a mild (and moderate) case of Covid-19 feels like

Five people: Grandpa: age 74, Bubbie: 73, Me: 50, Wife: 42, and Daughter: 7. Seven unconfirmed cases as the CDC and State rules have forbid any testing, no matter how hard we’ve tried. The first symptom was a little tickle in the back of the throat, like the day before a sore throat from a cold. My wife and her father both felt that 7 days after they attended an big event together in...

Impossible Until it Happens

Some of the best aphorisms are misquotes of misquotes, but end up popular because they are honed down to as few simple words as can be. One such aphorism seems fitting in this moment in time, or at least a variation on the theme. It Always Seems Impossible Until It’s Done.Nelson Mandela, sort of, see quoteinvestigator.com/2016/01/05/done Three months ago, a global pandemic was...

Isolated in Seattle

Some people live in the past, with nostalgia as their favorite feeling. Some people live in the future, often with pessimistic dread or optimistic utopian glee. Times like these are a good moment to take time to live in the present. Enjoy a sunbreak (as we call it in Seattle when a few minutes of sunshine breaks through the clouds). Enjoy making waffles with your child (which they are home from...

Just Three (Viral) Weeks Ago

I read the news every day. It’s an age-old habit that goes back to the days before the internet, before 24/7 cable news, back when news was at least a day old, if not a week old or a month old and delivered as ink on paper. In today’s 24/7/365 world where hour-old news can be old news it is often difficult to remember what happened a week ago, or from a tidbit in a story today, from...

Seattle, we have a (Covid-19) Problem

Three days later, and three days further into researching the likely scenarios, and we’re at the point in the Covid-19 outbreak equivalent to Apollo 13 where the famous line was spoken, “Houston, we have a problem.” As of today, Monday, March 9, 2020, there are 162 confirmed cases of Covid-19 with 22 dead. Plus positive cases in every neighboring county. Simple math…...

The 2020 Epidemic: Coronavirus

Watching the quarantine of Wuhan was one thing. Hearing about the first case of Covid-19 30 miles from my home from someone returning from China another. Then came six deaths 20 miles away, a school shutting down for a deep clean 15 miles away, and Amazon and Facebook employees with confirmed cases 10 miles away. Anyone in Seattle who isn’t already prepared for a citywide shutdown within...

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