I came across this article and its opening line in MIT Technology Review:
The most successful people are not the most talented, just the luckiest, a new computer model of wealth creation confirms.MIT Technology Review
I said something similar in a blog post 18 months ago, What if 99% of success is luck? And given the craziness of WeWork in the news, this idea that success is due more to luck than anything else seems truer than ever.
Talent vs. Luck: The Role of Randomness in Success and Failure, arxiv.org/abs/1802.07068